A Reprise of Posts from 2016
'OMG ... What have I done?'
MOVING TO ST LOUIS
Bob was sitting on the plane waiting to fly
to St Louis, when a guy took the seat beside him.
The guy was an emotional wreck, pale,
hands shaking in fear.
"What's the matter, afraid of flying?" Bob asked.
"No, it's not that. I've been transferred to St
Louis. The people are crazy there, right? Lots of shootings,
gangs, race riots, drugs, poor schools, and the highest
crime rate in the nation."
Bob replied, "I've lived in St Louis all my life.
It's not as bad as the media says. Find a nice home, go
to work, mind your own business, and enroll your kids in a
nice private school. I've worked there for 14 years and
never had the slightest trouble."
The guy relaxed and stopped shaking and said,
"Oh, thank you. I've been worried to death, but
if you've lived and worked there all those years
and say it's OK, I'll take your word for it.
What do you do for a living?"
"I'm the tail gunner on a Budweiser truck."
[Thanks Judy Wood]
MORAL OF THE PORCUPINE
Have you ever seen a baby porcupine?
Fable of the Porcupine:
It was the coldest winter ever. Many animals died because of the cold.
The porcupines, realizing the situation, decided to group together to keep warm.
This way they covered and protected themselves; but the quills of each one wounded their closest companions.
After a while, they decided to distance themselves one from the other and they began to die, alone and frozen. So they had to make a choice: either accept the quills of their companions or disappear from the Earth.
Wisely, they decided to go back to being together. They learned to live with the little wounds caused by the close relationship with their companions in order to receive the heat that came from the others. This way they were able to survive.
The best relationship is not the one that brings together perfect people, but when each individual learns to live with the imperfections of others and can admire the other person's good qualities.
The moral of the story is:
Just learn to live with those little pricks in your life;
especially during this election year.
'You want free college?
Engineer in Hell
An Engineer dies and goes to Hell. Dissatisfied with the level of comfort, he starts designing and building improvements.
After a while, Hell has air conditioning, flush toilets and escalators. The engineer is a pretty popular guy.
One day God calls and asks Satan, "So, how's it going down there?"
Satan says, "Hey things are going great. We've got air conditioning, flush toilets and escalators, and there's no telling what this engineer is going to come up with next."
God is horrified. "What? You've got an engineer? That's a mistake - he should never have gone down there!
You know all engineers go to Heaven. Send him up here! "
Satan says, "No way. I like having an engineer on the staff. I'm keeping him."
God says, "Send him back up here or I'll sue."
"Yeah, right," Satan laughs, "and where are you going to find a lawyer?"
[Thanks Jim Green]
[From OPINION Section]
This election is about political correctness.
Whether leftist politicians will continue to hide behind terms like "workplace violence" or if we will call it Islamic terrorism.
We believe that Islam is not a religion ... It is a political movement masquerading as a religion, on its way to dominating the world with Sharia law power.
Their leaders have brain-washed Muslims five times per day since 623, to convert or die. Not going to happen in the USA.
Trump, the 'Great Exaggerator,' will try to restore some Harry Truman 'Plain Speaking.'
Trump is rougher than a stucco bathtub, however our nation needs a "strong horse," a "benign dictator" to get our nation moving in the right direction again.
Trump does not call a spade a spade. He calls it f****** shovel.
Nevertheless, he will supervise those shovels to "build that wall."
Rainy Day in Chicago
the later years.
Only 16% of marriages last 60 years.
We made it last week with a small
family gathering of folks from
Alabama to California.
Farewell to a great American,
Arnold Palmer 1929-2016.
He exceeded his image.
Trump has an 87% chance
to winning Nov. 8th
Prof. Helmut Norpoth,
Stoney Brook University.
However unpredictable the ascent of Donald Trump onto the stage of presidential politics may have been, one forecast model has been highly confident for months that he would win the election on November 8, 2016.
The Primary Model predicted on March 7, 2016 that Trump would defeat Hillary Clinton with 87 percent certainty.
The forecast of a near-certain Trump victory at a moment when he was trailing both Clinton and Bernie Sanders in every poll, some by double-digits, was greeted with a heavy mix of shock, cheers, amazement, and derision, much of it on social media but also regular media outlets.
Many offered bets against the forecast, gleeful that it would turn out wrong. There is nothing to add to or subtract from the March forecast here. It was unconditional, final, and not subject to updating.
Just in case Hillary Clinton would not be the Democratic nominee, the Primary Model gave the nod to Trump over Bernie Sanders with 99-percent certainty; forecasts for Republican nominees other than Trump were also issued.[ii]
What are the ingredients of this forecast model?
As the name indicates, the Primary Model relies on presidential primaries as a predictor of the vote in the general election; it also makes use of a swing of the electoral pendulum that is useful for forecasting (http://primarymodel.com/).
For the record, the Primary Model, with slight modifications, has correctly predicted the winner of the popular vote in all five presidential elections since it was introduced in 1996 (Norpoth 1996, 2001, 2004, 2008, Norpoth and Bednarczuk 2012).[iii]
In recent elections the forecast has been issued as early as January of the election year. Also note that for all elections from 1912 to 2012 the Primary Model picks the winner, albeit retroactively, every time except in 1960.
[Prof. Norpoth has legally bet $500 of his own money on his forecast on the U. of Iowa political market website.]
[Nobody expected Trump to win;
Prof. Norpath alone predicted it.]
Black Friday Bargain
[Thanks Dan Boling]
Trump offers Romney
the position as
Warden at Guantanamo Bay.
* * *
21 more days until
January 20th, 2017
and our new
Commander in Chief.
'It wouldn't be Friday
without the Follies.'